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Solana’s Recovery Hangs by a Thread: Will $104 Hold or Will Bears Strike Next?

Solana trades near $104.60 as weak short-term momentum puts support at $104 at risk. Reclaiming $108.20 could improve recovery prospects, while a confirmed breakdown may expose $101 and the $97–$98 region.

By Tradexus Times Team 3 min read
Summarize this story3 key points · 20-second readThe key points in 20 seconds
  • Solana trades near $104.60, close to a key support zone around $104.
  • Holding $104 could allow a move toward resistance at $108.20, while a break below may push price toward $101 and the $97‑$98 area.
  • Short‑term momentum indicators are weak, and a decisive reaction at $104 will determine the token's near‑term direction.

Why it matters: Because the outcome at this support level will dictate whether SOL recovers or faces further declines, affecting investors' exposure to sharp price moves.

Summary written with AI and checked by Tradexus editors.

Solana’s Recovery Hangs by a Thread: Will $104 Hold or Will Bears Strike Next?

Solana (SOL) is facing renewed technical pressure as its price trades near $104.60, placing the market close to an important support zone around $104.00. The latest available market snapshot shows SOL down approximately 1.94% over 24 hours, with trading between $103.55 and $109.20 during that period. The immediate question is whether buyers can defend the current support area and recover the $108 resistance zone, or whether continued selling will push the token toward $101 and potentially below the psychological $100 threshold.

The four-hour chart presents a weaker picture than the broader market structure. Short-term technical indicators point to bearish conditions, with the four-hour Relative Strength Index around 46, indicating that momentum remains below the neutral threshold. This suggests that buyers have yet to establish convincing control over the recent price movement. However, the RSI reading is not deeply oversold, meaning further downside remains possible without requiring an immediate technical rebound.

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The daily chart offers a more complicated picture. SOL's daily RSI is approximately 41, reflecting subdued momentum, while the price remains near a technically significant retracement zone. The broader indicator readings are mixed: some moving-average and Fibonacci signals remain supportive, but trend and oscillator indicators continue to show weakness. This divergence between shorter-term selling pressure and the broader structure makes confirmation more important than relying on a single indicator.

The first major level to watch is the $104.00–$104.20 region. The latest daily technical calculations place immediate support near $104.13, with this area also aligning closely with a Fibonacci retracement level. A sustained defense of this zone could allow SOL to stabilize and attempt a recovery toward $108.20, the nearest significant resistance identified by the current technical data. A daily close above that resistance, followed by evidence that buyers can hold the reclaimed level, would strengthen the recovery case and bring the $110–$113 region into focus.

The bearish case becomes more compelling if SOL records a confirmed daily close below $104.00 and subsequently fails to reclaim that level. Such a move would suggest that the current support structure is weakening rather than merely experiencing temporary intraday volatility. The next notable support lies near $101.00, which could become the immediate downside focus if selling accelerates. A sustained break below that area would expose the broader $97–$98 region, where another cluster of technical levels may attract buying interest. These are conditional support areas, not guaranteed price targets.

Solana's recent network developments also provide a distinction between fundamental progress and market performance. The Alpenglow consensus upgrade is designed to reduce transaction finality substantially, potentially improving the network's performance. However, technological improvements do not automatically translate into immediate token-price appreciation. In the near term, SOL's price structure and broader digital-asset market conditions may continue to determine whether investors respond positively to those developments.

For a bullish reversal to gain credibility, SOL needs to defend the $104 area and reclaim $108.20 with sustained buying pressure. A move above $112.95 would provide additional evidence of recovery and weaken the immediate bearish structure. Conversely, a confirmed breakdown below $104, followed by a loss of $101, would shift attention toward lower support. Until either side establishes control, the market remains vulnerable to sharp moves in both directions, with the $100 threshold representing an important psychological reference point.

Overall, Solana's immediate outlook remains cautious. The current price is close to support, short-term momentum is weak, and the daily indicators do not yet establish a convincing bullish reversal. The next decisive signal will come from SOL's reaction around $104 and its ability—or failure—to reclaim $108.20. These levels are based on the latest available market snapshot and may change as new candles form.

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